My manual for SHTF is "Lucifer's Hammer" by Niven and Pournelle. Think of everything that can go wrong, and they thought of even more!
My take from it is that in a real SHTF scenario there is only one way to thrive (or even survive): A defensible medium size town of full blown gun-tot'in rednecks with farming experience, a couple of doctors and vets, and a well stocked Walmart or two! If you find that on the map let me know!
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